{"id":2072,"date":"2008-11-09T15:43:21","date_gmt":"2008-11-09T21:43:21","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/granades.com\/?p=2072"},"modified":"2008-11-09T15:43:21","modified_gmt":"2008-11-09T21:43:21","slug":"grand-theft-auto-odds-and-probability","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/granades.com\/?p=2072","title":{"rendered":"Grand Theft Auto: Odds and Probability"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>I have moved beyond the bike portion of <i>Grand Theft Auto: San Andreas<\/i>, and have learned that the Los Santos police are awfully cavalier about any carjacking I might do. At first I was very careful about what cars I&#8217;d boost, and I&#8217;d try to take care of them. Now I realize that cars are disposable like kleenex.<\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;ve also discovered the joys of off-track betting. Gambling on the ponies is dramatically simplified: you can bet on one of five horses. The horses&#8217; odds of winning vary from 1 in 2 to about 1 in 12. If the horse wins, you win a matching amount of money: the 1-in-2 horse doubles your bet, while the 1-in-12 horse pays back 12 times your bet.<\/p>\n<p>I say &#8220;odds of winning,&#8221; but I lie. As best I can tell, the game picks one of the five horses at random to win. So every single horse has the true odds of winning of 1 in 5.<\/p>\n<p>I think you can see where I&#8217;m going here. With a little judicious save-and-restoring, and by betting only on the horse with the longest odds, I&#8217;ve quickly gone from having some $300 to $14M. Why, it&#8217;s like someone <a href=\"https:\/\/granades.com\/wordpress\/2007\/07\/27\/two-notes-on-statistics-and-mbas\/\">doubled all the payouts at a casino<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Hrm, two GTA posts in one weekend. At the rate I&#8217;m going here, pretty soon I&#8217;ll be doing what <a href=\"http:\/\/wurb.com\/stack\/\">Carl does for his blog<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I have moved beyond the bike portion of Grand Theft Auto: San Andreas, and have learned that the Los Santos police are awfully cavalier about any carjacking I might do. At first I was very careful about what cars I&#8217;d boost, and I&#8217;d try to take care of them. Now I realize that cars are &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/granades.com\/?p=2072\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Grand Theft Auto: Odds and Probability<\/span> <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2072","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/granades.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2072","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/granades.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/granades.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/granades.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/granades.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2072"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/granades.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2072\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2074,"href":"https:\/\/granades.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2072\/revisions\/2074"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/granades.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2072"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/granades.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2072"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/granades.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2072"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}